chinaÂ
Special ReportÂ
Chinese BanksÂ
AnalystsÂ
SummaryÂ
· China (January 2010)
· Chinese Banks: Annual Review and Outlook
(December 2009)
· Chinese Banks: Soaring denotation Amid Weak
Corporate Clim ate A Concern (May 2009)
· Chinese Banks: asset Quality Under
Pressure As Credit Cycle Turns
(January 2009)
(CNYbn)
1,600
CNY loans (yoy, RHS)
(%)
40
1,200
30
800
20
400
10
0
0
2010
· EM Banking System Datawatch (April 2010)
New loans/mo. (3mma, LHS)
2009
· Macro?Prudential Risk supervise (June 2010)
Chart 1: CNY Loan Growth
2008
Related Research
Against this backdrop, the reported deceleration
in lending in H110 (Chart 1) has received much
attention. The slowdown is cited as certainty that
recent administrative tightening is working, and
that Chinas banks and thrift are normalising
after the shock of 2008?09. While the reliance
environment is slight frenzied than in H109, Fitch
Ratings cautions that lending has not slowed
nearly as much as official data suggests, due to
the increase amount of credit being shifted off
of Chinese banks balance sheets via informal
securitisation (ie the re?packaging of loans into
investments products for sale to investors).
2007
Hiddy He
+8610 8567 9898 x108
hiddy.he@fitch ratings.comÂ
2006
Chunling Wen
+8610 8567 9898 x105
chunling.wen@fitchratings.com
In the wake of the 2009 credit boom, trends in Chinese bank loan fruit consecrate been
increasingly under the spotlight. Bank credit rose 33% in 2009 (to 140% of GDP at
year?end), and is on footprint for another brisk year in 2010. With GDP growth now back
in double?digits, Chinese policymakers have been wrestling with how to rein in the
credit?fuelled stimulus before it leads to overheating, without overshooting.
2005
Charlene Chu
+8610 8567 9898 x112
charlene.chu@fitchr atings.com
promiscuous Securitisation Increasingly DistortingÂ
Credit DataÂ
Source: Bloomberg, PBOC...If you want to range a full essay, order it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com
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